Sunday, March 08, 2009

FDH Fantasy Newsletter: Volume II, Issue X

Welcome to our 27th edition of the FDH Fantasy Newsletter, as we continue to bring you weekly fantasy sports updates in addition to our usual content on In case you missed it, here are the previous issues: Volume I, Issue I (September 4, 2008), Volume I, Issue II (September 13, 2008), Volume I, Issue III (September 19, 2008), Volume I, Issue IV (September 27, 2008), Volume I, Issue V (October 4, 2008), Volume I, Issue VI (October 11, 2008), Volume I, Issue VII (October 18, 2008), Volume I, Issue VIII (October 25, 2008), Volume I, Issue IX (November 1, 2008), Volume I, Issue X (November 8, 2008), Volume I, Issue XI (November 15, 2008), Volume I, Issue XII (November 21, 2008), Volume 1, Issue XIII (November 30, 2008), Volume 1, Issue XIV (December 7, 2008), Volume I, Issue XV (December 14, 2008), Volume I, Issue XVI (December 20, 2008), Volume I, Issue XVII (December 28, 2008), Volume II, Issue I (January 3, 2009), Volume II, Issue II (January 11, 2009), Volume II, Issue III (January 20, 2009), Volume II, Issue IV (January 24, 2009), Volume II, Issue V (January 29, 2009), Volume II, Issue VI (February 8, 2009), Volume II, Issue VII (February 17, 2009), Volume II, Issue VIII (February 23, 2009), Volume II, Issue IX (February 28, 2009)

In this week's issue, we bring you:

^ The full Table of Contents for FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2009, our brand-new free guide for the 2009 season
^ Advice regarding the selection of Alex Rodriguez this year

Table of Contents for FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2009

Page 1: Draft Philosophy Overview, Top 72 Overall
Page 2: Starting Pitcher Rankings, Draft Board Decoder, Lessons of “The Stat”
Page 3: Starting Pitcher Rankings Cont’, 2009 Don’t Be That Guy
Page 4: Starting Pitcher Rankings Cont’, Relief Pitcher Rankings, 2009 Sleepers
Page 5: Catcher Rankings, 2009 Overvalued, 2009 Undervalued, Offseason Movement Winners and Losers
Page 6: First Base Rankings, Injury Risk Management
Page 7: Second Base Rankings, Designated Hitter Rankings, 2009 Position Battle Overview
Page 8: Shortstop Rankings, 2009 Prospect Rankings, Long-Term Keeper League Prospect Rankings
Page 9: 2009 AL & NL Scarcity, 2009 Players With a Wide Range of Opinion
Page 10: Respect Mah Eligibilitah!
Page 11: Third Base Rankings, Suggested League Guidelines
Pages 12-13: Outfield Rankings
Pages 14-15: 2009 Mock Draft and Analysis
Page 16: World Baseball Classic Draft Board and Suggested League Guidelines
Pages17-18: Russ’s Rants: Steroids, Blyleven and Schilling
Page 19: MLB Front Office Manager
Page 20: FDH Standings/Awards Predictions for 2009 MLB, FDH Minor League System Rankings
Page 21: 2009 Fantasy Overview, 2008 Legitimate Breakthroughs/Reclamation Cases

Selecting Alex Rodriguez in 2009

It's a truism we like to relate often: the point at which every player should be selected is the balance between the upside of potential production and the downside of potential risk. For most players, it's relatively easy to pinpoint at least a relative range of where they should be placed -- and because the ones not as easy to slot tend to stand out a bit, that's why we call particular attention to them (i.e. 2009 Overvalued and Undervalued Players on Page 5 of FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2009).

So where does Alex Rodriguez fall into the mix with his hip injury?

Ultimately, the timing of his physical woes coming into the public domain coincided almost exactly with the publication of our draft guide, so we were obligated to try to answer the question as to his worth for '09 before we could complete its release. With his relatively minor hip surgery (for now), he is expected to play the bulk of the season, returning (probably) by late-May.

In the final analysis, we slotted him as a seventh-round pick and as an $18 player in both National League-only and mixed leagues.

Upon his return, after a brief reacclimation, his production should be in the range of "classic A-Rod." Of course, this is by all means uncertain -- it could be lower if the rehab progresses slowly and it could well exceed last year's numbers on a pro-rated basis if A-Rod proves to be healthier than he was down the stretch last year. The key is to find the balance between the projected scenarios.

And, rightly or wrongly, that's where FDH slots him.


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