FDH Fantasy Newsletter: Volume IV, Issue XXVII

Welcome to our 140th edition of the FDH Fantasy Newsletter, as we continue to bring you weekly fantasy sports updates in addition to our usual content on FantasyDrafthelp.com. Our archive of past editions is available right here on The FantasyDrafthelp.com Blog and specific links to past editions are available at FantasyDrafthelp.com.

This week, we bring you the Ultimate Quantitative Baseline most consistent players and the players with the strongest and weakest expert consensus for fantasy football in 2011.

2011 Ultimate Quantitative Baseline Four-Category Players for Fantasy Football

NOTE: These players are the “four –category” ones in regards to our UQB for this season (our 2011 numbers debuted in last week’s newsletter). At each position, players are graded against one another proportionately in four categories and they fall either above or below the standard deviation from the mean. These are the players who graded above it in all four categories. That is not to say that they have the highest numbers in each category; as a matter of fact, Dustin Keller placed 12^th in the UQB at TE, but managed to score just above the line in all four categories. But although there are such exceptions to the rule, this measure generally is successful at flagging the most consistent performers across the most important fantasy categories. These features and others are serialized from our forthcoming FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2011 guide.

QB

Michael Vick

RB

Ahmad Bradshaw

Jamaal Charles

Matt Forte

Arian Foster

Peyton Hillis

Maurice Jones-Drew

LeSean McCoy

Darren McFadden

Adrian Peterson

WR

Miles Austin

Dwayne Bowe

Greg Jennings

Andre Johnson

Calvin Johnson

Brandon Lloyd

Mario Manningham

Mike Wallace

Mike Williams (Tampa Bay)

TE

Vernon Davis

Dustin Keller

Players With The Strongest Expert Consensus in 2011

NOTE: One component of our draft board is the “experts’ draft board,” a feature that combines the rankings of four of our top peers in the industry. Every year, there is a strong consensus on the ranking of some players and a very weak one on others. These next two features break out the areas of the most and least agreement, listing the widest variance in ranking between the different sources.

QB

Aaron Rodgers (from 1 to 2)

Tom Brady (from 3 to 5)

Jay Cutler (from 14 to 15)

Eli Manning (from 12 to 13)

Peyton Manning (from 3 to 5)

Philip Rivers (6 on every board)

Ben Roethlisberger (from 9 to 10)

Tony Romo (7 on every board)

RB

Jamaal Charles (from 4 to 5)

Arian Foster (from 2 to 3)

Steven Jackson (from 11 to 12)

Chris Johnson (from 1 to 3)

Ryan Mathews (from 19 to 21)

LeSean McCoy (from 5 to 7)

Adrian Peterson (from 1 to 2)

Ray Rice (from 4 to 6)

Mike Tolbert (from 36 to 37)

Michael Turner (10 on every board)

WR

Percy Harvin (from 24 to 26)

Andre Johnson (from 1 to 2)

Calvin Johnson (from 3 to 5)

Kevin Walter (from 65 to 67)

TE

Antonio Gates (1 on every board)

Dallas Clark (from 2 to 3)

Vernon Davis (from 4 to 5)
Jason Witten (from 2 to 3)

K (the standard for consistency with kicker rankings was relaxed, because, as you will read below, most kickers have wildly disparate expectations attached to them)

Rob Bironas (from 4 to 9)

Stephen Gostkowski (from 1 to 5)

Garrett Hartley (from 3 to 8)

Olindo Mare (from 21 to 26)

Joe Nedney (from 25 to 29)

Adam Vinatieri (from 12 to 16)

D/ST

Chicago (from 5 to 6)

Green Bay (from 1 to 2)

Jacksonville (32 on every board)

New York Jets (from 2 to 4)

Players With The Weakest Expert Consensus in 2011

QB

Kevin Kolb (from 17 to 33)

Kyle Orton (from 25 to 36)

John Skelton (from 32 to 60)

Vince Young (from 24 to 34)

RB

Marion Barber (from 52 to 65)

Donald Brown (from 43 to 68)
Michael Bush (from 35 to 51)

Tashard Choice (from 49 to 67)

Anthony Dixon (from 55 to 65)

Justin Forsett (from 45 to 67)

Mike Goodson (from 40 to 50)

Roy Helu (from 43 to 81)

Mark Ingram (from 27 to 42)

Brandon Jacobs (from 25 to 40)

Mikel Leshoure (from 33 to 43)

Willis McGahee (from 51 to 66)

Bernard Scott (from 63 to 79)

Darren Sproles (from 41 to 57)

James Starks (from 30 to 53)

LaDainian Tomlinson (from 31 to 52)

Beanie Wells (from 41 to 56)

Carnell Williams (from 54 to 77)

Keiland Williams (from 38 to 71)

Ricky Williams (from 46 to 61)

Ryan Williams (from 32 to 58)

Danny Woodhead (from 33 to 48)

WR

Anthony Armstrong (from 38 to 53)

Arrelious Benn (from 64 to 78)

Jonathan Baldwin (from 60 to 71)

Earl Bennett (from 58 to 70)

Deion Branch (from 27 to 40)

Steve Breaston (from 39 to 77)

Kenny Britt (from 16 to 26)

Nate Burleson (from 51 to 62)

Austin Collie (from 21 to 37)

Jerricho Cotchery (from 55 to 71)

Patrick Crayton (from 78 to 89)

Donald Driver (from 47 to 75)

Lee Evans (from 45 to 59)

Malcom Floyd (from 29 to 50)

Jacoby Ford (from 30 to 53)

Jabar Gaffney (from 59 to 74)

Pierre Garcon (from 27 to 38)

AJ Green (from 35 to 46)

Brian Hartline (from 72 to 93)

Devin Hester (from 65 to 79)

Stevie Johnson (from 16 to 29)

Jacoby Jones (from 48 to 61)

James Jones (from 41 to 59)

Julio Jones (from 36 to 50)

Jeremy Macklin (from 12 to 22)

Brandon Marshall (from 9 to 23)

Mario Manningham (from 22 to 33)

Derrick Mason (from 38 to 52)

Robert Meachem (from 30 to 44)

Lance Moore (from 41 to 68)

Josh Morgan (from 60 to 86)

Randy Moss (from 36 to 75)

Jordy Nelson (from 29 to 57)

Chad Ochocinco (from 20 to 48)

Eddie Royal (from 68 to 105)

Emmanuel Sanders (from 51 to 70)

Jordan Shipley (from 67 to 85)

Jerome Simpson (from 39 to 58)

Steve Smith – Carolina (from 30 to 49)

Mike Thomas (from 32 to 46)

Hines Ward (from 36 to 56)

Nate Washington (from 46 to 73)

Mike Williams – Seattle (from 35 to 47)

TE

Kevin Boss (from 18 to 28)

Dustin Keller (from 9 to 19)

K

David Akers (from 7 to 20 – ironically, he was 7 on 2 boards and 20 on the other 2)

Connor Barth (from 17 to 33)

Josh Brown (from 3 to 18)

David Buehler (from 6 to 20)

Dan Carpenter (from 8 to 26)

Billy Cundiff (from 8 to 19)

Nick Folk (from 4 to 15)

Robbie Gould (from 10 to 20)

Sebastian Janikowski (from 1 to 13)

Nate Kaeding (from 1 to 12)

Ryan Longwell (from 17 to 31)

Matt Prater (from 10 to 25)

Neil Rackers (from 1 to 11)

Josh Scobee (from 19 to 34)

Ryan Succop (from 11 to 28)

Shawn Suisham (from 10 to 27)

Lawrence Tynes (from 12 to 26)

D/ST

Arizona (from 9 to 30)

Houston (from 15 to 31)

Indianapolis (from 19 to 30)

Miami (from 15 to 28)

New Orleans (from 8 to 21)

Tampa Bay (from 13 to 30)