Saturday, December 26, 2009

FDH Fantasy Newsletter: Volume II, Issue XLXI

Welcome to our 65th edition of the FDH Fantasy Newsletter, as we continue to bring you weekly fantasy sports updates in addition to our usual content on Our archive of past editions is available right here on The Blog and specific links to past editions are available on the front page of

In this week's edition:

^ NFL Week 16 Preview
^ NFL Week 16 Best Waiver Wire Pickups

NFL Week 16 Preview

Here’s a few standard preface notes:

^ Notwithstanding the claims of any website to be your “home for Sunday morning injury report news,” nothing beats Google News – nothing. Entering a player name into this search engine trumps any other means of gathering information because it culls the data from an unbelievably wide variety of sources.

^ Especially earlier in the season, it’s always good to refer to a strong baseline of where players should have been drafted – and nothing beats FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2009.

^ Unless there are any injury questions, we never discuss “gimme” players. Such core players should be started week in and week out unless there is any question surrounding their playing status. Winning teams only need to worry about “playing the matchups” with one, two or (at the most, during bye weeks) three spots in the lineup. Some websites promise you a crystal ball for how to manage high-risk, high-reward juggling during the season. We don’t. We play the percentages. That approach may be boring, but it’s highly effective and much more intellectually honest in what we promise you.

^ By the way, here are your core players who should not be benched if healthy
QB: Brady, Brees, P Manning, McNabb, Rivers, Rodgers, Romo, Warner
RB: M Barber, R Brown, Forte, Gore, Grant, S Jackson, Jacobs, C Johnson, Jones-Drew, Peterson, Portis, Slaton, Tomlinson, Turner, Westbrook, D Williams
WR: Boldin, Bowe, Colston, Fitzgerald, Jennings, A Johnson, C Johnson, Houshmandzadeh, V Jackson, Marshall, Moss, Ochocinco, S Smith (Carolina), Wayne, R White
TE: Clark, Gates, Gonzalez, Witten

^ Here are the players added to that list since the start of the year:
RB: Benson
WR: Burleson, Driver, S Smith (NY Giants)
TE: H Miller, V Davis

^ And here are the players who were on our list, but have been removed from it:
RB: Lynch
WR: Owens, R Williams

^ Links for each game take you to the CBS Sports home page for each game, with stats, analysis and even video previews.

^ All times listed are EDT.

^ Of the non-gimme players we like this week, the stronger plays are the ones in all caps.

Week 16
Sunday, Dec. 27
Buffalo at Atlanta, 1 p.m. All-out on marginal players of both teams
Kansas City at Cincinnati, 1 p.m. All-out on marginal Chiefs, QB Palmer
Oakland at Cleveland, 1 p.m. RB MCFADDEN, RB HARRISON
Seattle at Green Bay, 1 p.m. TE Carlson, all-in on marginal Packers
Houston at Miami, 1 p.m. QB Schaub, WR Walter, RB Williams
Carolina at N.Y. Giants, 1 p.m. All-out on marginal Panthers, QB Manning, WR Manningham
Jacksonville at New England, 1 p.m. QB Garrard, RB Maroney, WR Welker
Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1 p.m. TE Winslow, all-in on marginal Saints (with caution for banged-up TE Shockey)
Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 1 p.m. QB Flacco, RB Rice, QB Roethlisberger, WR Holmes, WR Ward
St. Louis at Arizona, 4:05 p.m. All-out on marginal Rams, RB WELLS
Detroit at San Francisco, 4:05 p.m. All-out on marginal Lions, WR Crabtree, WR Morgan
Denver at Philadelphia, 4:15 p.m. RB Moreno, RB McCoy, WR Jackson, TE Celek
N.Y. Jets at Indianapolis, 4:15 p.m. RB Jones, WR Cotchery, WR Edwards, TE Keller, RB Addai
Dallas at Washington, 8:20 p.m. RB Jones, WR Austin, WR Moss
Monday, Dec. 28
Minnesota at Chicago, 8:30 p.m. All-in on marginal Vikings (including 3 WRs), all-out on marginal Bears

NFL Week 16 Best Waiver Wire Pickups

NOTE: We only recommend plausible pickups; our threshold is 40% or less ownership in leagues. As such, players may show up on our list multiple weeks if they fall below that percentage and if we still believe in their upside potential.

1 Maurice Morris
2 Josh Morgan
3 Chaz Schilens
4 Chad Henne
5 David Thomas


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